Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.228455 0.267217 0.312963 0.371591 0.445700 0.537599 0.662339
2025-01-05 0.166249 0.211844 0.272443 0.361409 0.493324 0.689994 1.023377
2025-01-12 0.135095 0.183050 0.252629 0.366221 0.558660 0.897571 1.615522
2025-01-19 0.113002 0.160050 0.232868 0.361876 0.605437 1.101407 2.403762
2025-01-26 0.099758 0.146733 0.223634 0.370283 0.676933 1.399593 3.810655
2025-02-02 0.090610 0.137757 0.218886 0.384412 0.766205 1.811186 6.403021
2025-02-09 0.082756 0.129344 0.212978 0.393993 0.850504 2.295508 10.905497
2025-02-16 0.076627 0.122800 0.208967 0.406115 0.948674 2.947437 20.170776
2025-02-23 0.070983 0.116203 0.203454 0.413088 1.037936 3.707247 39.019347
2025-03-02 0.065855 0.109805 0.197104 0.416178 1.118874 4.589804 81.400352
2025-03-09 0.061012 0.103303 0.189390 0.413651 1.181282 5.528693 183.188005
2025-03-16 0.056317 0.096528 0.180007 0.404203 1.214522 6.394686 436.715257
2025-03-23 0.053578 0.093416 0.178442 0.416970 1.351043 8.579026 3542.593533
2025-03-30 0.049665 0.087506 0.169660 0.406522 1.383337 10.011193 61311.803153
2025-04-06 0.047147 0.084212 0.166509 0.412594 1.501990 13.188887 NaN
2025-04-13 0.044302 0.079934 0.160382 0.407644 1.564104 16.163710 NaN
2025-04-20 0.042481 0.077658 0.158825 0.417537 1.721480 22.674927 NaN
2025-04-27 0.041109 0.076209 0.159118 0.434135 1.943050 34.919477 NaN
2025-05-04 0.039604 0.074309 0.157968 0.445402 2.149613 53.445784 NaN
2025-05-11 0.038321 0.072780 0.157576 0.459676 2.405492 89.395073 NaN
2025-05-18 0.036910 0.070820 0.155743 0.467898 2.632626 149.198423 NaN
2025-05-25 0.035453 0.068624 0.152961 0.471543 2.832891 251.657509 NaN
2025-06-01 0.033902 0.066079 0.148874 0.468562 2.971646 408.781630 NaN